The West African bloc ECOWAS rejected the proposal by Niger’s mutinous soldiers for a three-year transition to democratic rule.
Speaking to Al Jazeera earlier this week, the bloc's commissioner for peace and security said it was 'unacceptable.'
The door for diplomacy with Niger's junta remained open but the bloc is not going to engage in drawn-out talks that lead nowhere, Abdel-Fatau Musah, the ECOWAS commissioner for peace and security, told The Associated Press in an interview Wednesday.
"It is the belief among the ECOWAS heads of state and also the commission that the coup in Niger is one coup too many for the region and if we allow it then we are going to have a domino effect in the region and we are determined to stop it," Musah said. While direct talks and backchannel negotiations are ongoing, he said the door to diplomacy wasn’t open indefinitely.
"We are not going to engage in long, drawn-out haggling with these military officers … We went down that route in Mali, in Burkina Faso and elsewhere, and we are getting nowhere," Musah said.
His comments came days after an ECOWAS delegation met the head of Niger's military regime, Gen. Abdourahmane Tchiani, for the first time since the mutinous soldiers ousted President Mohamed Bazoum in July.
After last week’s meeting, Musah said the ball is now in the junta’s court.
Coups and sanctions
The junta has been keeping Bazoum and his wife and son under house arrest, and ECOWAS has demanded Bazoum be freed and constitutional order restored.
ECOWAS has used Niger as a red line against further coups after several in the region, including two each in Mali and Burkina Faso since 2020.
The bloc has imposed severe economic and travel sanctions and threatened the use of military force if Bazoum is not reinstated, but the junta has dug in. It has appointed a new government and said it will return the country to democratic rule within several years.
Niger was seen as one of the last democratic countries in the Sahel region below the Sahara Desert that Western nations could partner with to beat back a growing jihadi insurgency linked to al-Qaida and the Islamic State group. France, other European countries and the United States have poured hundreds of millions of dollars into providing equipment and training for Niger's military and in the case of France have conducted joint operations.
The 2023 Global Terrorism Index estimated that Sahel accounted for 43% of global terrorism deaths in 2022. With 8,564 victims, Burkina Faso ranked 2nd just behind Afghanistan.
Somalia, Mali and Syria occupied the 3rd, 4th and 5th place respectively. Next came Pakistan, Iraq, Nigeria, Burma and Niger according to the document.
Since the coup, those military operations have been suspended while both sides decide what to do. France and the U.S. have some 2,500 military personnel in the country and the U.S. operates two key drone and counter-terror bases.
Musah said ECOWAS was not discussing military plans with any external partners and everything it was planning was based on the resources of member states. Earlier this month, ECOWAS said 11 of its 15 member states had agreed to intervene militarily if talks didn't work.
ECOWAS is banking on a combination of external pressure through sanctions and internal unrest within Niger's security forces and the fact that Tchiani, the junta's leader, met with ECOWAS face-to-face after multiple attempts, is a sign that the coup leaders are feeling the pressure, said Nate Allen, an associate professor at the Africa Center for Strategic Studies.
n the aftermath of a coup in Niger and the subsequent proposal by the mutinous soldiers for a three-year transition to democratic rule, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has rejected this proposition. The bloc's commissioner for peace and security, Abdel-Fatau Musah, called the proposal "unacceptable" and emphasized that ECOWAS was not willing to engage in prolonged talks that lead nowhere.
Musah stated that ECOWAS's collective stance was based on the belief that allowing the coup in Niger to succeed would set a dangerous precedent for the region, potentially leading to a cascade of similar events. He mentioned that the region had already faced coups in countries like Mali and Burkina Faso and that engaging in prolonged negotiations with military officers had not yielded positive results in the past.
Despite rejecting the proposed transition timeline, Musah highlighted that the door for diplomacy remained open with Niger's junta. However, he also noted that this avenue wouldn't remain open indefinitely. ECOWAS had previously met with the head of Niger's military regime, Gen. Abdourahmane Tchiani, and after this meeting, Musah indicated that the ball was in the junta's court.
ECOWAS has been using a combination of diplomatic pressure, economic sanctions, and the threat of military intervention to push for the release of ousted President Mohamed Bazoum and the restoration of constitutional order. The bloc has considered Niger as a red line against further coups in the region and has taken a firm stance to prevent the spread of such actions.
The situation in Niger has broader implications, especially given its strategic importance in combating the growing jihadi insurgency in the Sahel region. Western nations, including France, the United States, and other European countries, have invested significant resources in supporting Niger's military efforts against terrorist groups linked to al-Qaida and the Islamic State. The Sahel region, encompassing countries like Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, has seen a significant share of global terrorism deaths.
As the standoff continues, ECOWAS is hoping that a combination of internal pressure within Niger's security forces and external pressure through sanctions will eventually lead to a resolution. However, the situation remains precarious, and there is a risk of conflict if the two sides fail to find common ground.
"Nonetheless, it is clear that the two sides remain very far apart and the risk of conflict is high," he said.
